Real España vs Lobos de la UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
RES
3 - 0
HNP
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 3
RES
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2022 |
RES
4 - 1
RSO
67%
21%
12%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
RES
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
RES
1 - 2
MOT
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos de la UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
JAG
0 - 3
OLI
25%
26%
49%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
JAG
0 - 0
MOT
28%
27%
46%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
VIC
3 - 0
JAG
25%
25%
50%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
JAG
1 - 2
PLA
64%
22%
15%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
RSO
2 - 2
JAG
26%
25%
50%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |