Northampton vs Lincoln City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
48%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
OXF
4 - 0
NOR
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
CRE
2 - 1
NOR
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
EXE
1 - 2
NOR
55%
22%
24%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
NOR
0 - 2
DON
27%
27%
46%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
NOR
1 - 0
FLE
23%
27%
51%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
LIN
0 - 1
STF
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
LIN
0 - 4
SUN
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
STF
1 - 4
LIN
28%
25%
47%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
ROC
0 - 2
LIN
26%
27%
47%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
LIN
2 - 1
WIG
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |