Cruzeiro vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
CRZ
4 - 0
USC
80%
13%
6%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
CRZ
2 - 0
ARN
78%
14%
8%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
SPO
1 - 0
CRZ
37%
26%
38%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
SCI
1 - 0
CRZ
43%
28%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
CRZ
3 - 1
FLA
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
AME
2 - 2
CCP
33%
26%
42%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
CCP
3 - 1
OLI
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
CCP
2 - 0
SAN
65%
22%
13%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
TAC
3 - 3
CCP
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2007 |
CCP
4 - 1
GUA
63%
23%
14%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |