Crawley Town vs Aston Villa Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.7%
16%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
NOT
3 - 2
CRA
65%
19%
17%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
CRA
26%
24%
50%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 1
CRA
37%
27%
37%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CRA
2 - 4
CRE
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
SUT
0 - 0
CRA
24%
23%
54%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
BHA
2 - 1
AVI
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 2
AVI
76%
14%
10%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
AVI
2 - 3
SUN
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BRO
2 - 3
AVI
47%
22%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
SUT
2 - 2
AVI
54%
21%
25%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |