Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
VAS
2 - 0
VOL
76%
17%
7%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
AME
1 - 3
VAS
11%
20%
70%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VAS
4 - 1
MAD
77%
17%
7%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
COT
0 - 0
VAS
40%
28%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
VAS
1 - 0
SAN
25%
27%
48%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
POR
0 - 5
FLA
8%
18%
74%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 2
FLA
14%
22%
65%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 1
BOA
83%
12%
4%
|
80 | 46 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
ATM
0 - 2
FLA
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
CEA
3 - 3
FLA
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |