Swindon Town vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
13.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
GIL
3 - 1
SWI
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
ALD
2 - 1
SWI
23%
28%
49%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SWI
1 - 0
PLY
72%
19%
9%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
SWI
1 - 0
NOR
72%
19%
10%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 1
SWI
26%
27%
47%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
BRO
46%
25%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
STF
1 - 0
POR
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 0
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
MAC
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
ALD
1 - 2
POR
48%
27%
26%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |