Sporting Braga vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
SPB
2 - 0
EST
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
SPB
4 - 1
VIZ
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
MID
3 - 2
SPB
40%
25%
36%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
SPB
6 - 0
SAN
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SLB
6 - 1
SPB
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
NAP
0 - 2
CRV
17%
22%
61%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
CRV
1 - 0
VOZ
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CRV
3 - 0
FKS
69%
19%
13%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
CRV
1 - 0
LUD
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
MLA
1 - 5
CRV
18%
22%
61%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |