Italy vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 1
NLD
35%
26%
39%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2018 |
FRA
3 - 1
ITA
62%
22%
16%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2018 |
ITA
2 - 1
SAU
73%
18%
9%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
ENG
1 - 1
ITA
54%
24%
21%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
ARG
2 - 0
ITA
60%
22%
18%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
JPN
0 - 1
POL
43%
23%
34%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
POL
0 - 3
COL
40%
26%
34%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2018 |
POL
1 - 2
SEN
65%
20%
15%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2018 |
POL
4 - 0
LTU
79%
15%
6%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
POL
2 - 2
CHL
41%
26%
33%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |