Iran vs Thailand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2004 |
IRN
4 - 1
SYR
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2004 |
IRN
2 - 1
IRQ
55%
24%
21%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2004 |
IRN
7 - 1
SYR
68%
20%
12%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2004 |
IRN
4 - 0
LBN
71%
19%
10%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
IRN
0 - 1
JOR
69%
20%
11%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
THA
3 - 2
TTO
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2004 |
THA
0 - 0
JOR
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2004 |
THA
0 - 2
BHR
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
THA
1 - 4
PRK
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
YEM
0 - 3
THA
10%
15%
76%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |