Wales vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
53.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ISR
0 - 3
WLS
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
BEL
0 - 0
WLS
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
WLS
2 - 1
CYP
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
WLS
0 - 0
BIH
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
AND
1 - 2
WLS
11%
20%
70%
|
83 | 38 | 45 | -1 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
FRA
3 - 4
BEL
60%
23%
17%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
ISR
0 - 1
BEL
32%
25%
43%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BEL
5 - 0
CYP
82%
13%
5%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
BEL
0 - 0
WLS
72%
18%
10%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
BEL
3 - 1
ISL
77%
15%
7%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |