Rumanía U21 vs Italia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
59.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rumanía U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
ROU
3 - 1
FRO
77%
16%
7%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
ROU
2 - 2
GER
16%
22%
62%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
IRL
0 - 1
ROU
33%
27%
41%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
ROU
0 - 0
IRL
52%
25%
22%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
MNE
3 - 2
ROU
30%
24%
46%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Italia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
ITA
4 - 0
MNE
84%
12%
5%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
NIR
0 - 2
ITA
8%
16%
75%
|
83 | 44 | 39 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
SRB
1 - 0
ITA
19%
22%
59%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
ITA
3 - 0
NIR
85%
12%
3%
|
84 | 43 | 41 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
BEL
0 - 1
ITA
19%
24%
57%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | +1 |