Roma vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
ROM
0 - 0
SPE
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
NAP
0 - 0
ROM
65%
19%
16%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
ROM
0 - 0
BAT
71%
17%
12%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 1
ROM
42%
25%
32%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ROM
0 - 2
ATL
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
GEN
1 - 2
USA
79%
15%
7%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
GEN
0 - 1
BOL
69%
20%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
INT
1 - 0
GEN
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
GEN
1 - 2
CAR
69%
20%
11%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
GEN
2 - 1
SAS
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |