Roma vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 3
ROM
24%
24%
52%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ROM
1 - 0
JUV
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SAM
3 - 1
ROM
26%
24%
49%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
ROM
2 - 4
CAG
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
BOL
3 - 3
ROM
28%
25%
47%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
PAL
0 - 0
GEN
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 0
UDI
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 0
GEN
58%
24%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
GEN
3 - 2
LAZ
34%
25%
40%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 1
GEN
79%
14%
6%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |