Real Zaragoza vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ZAR
3 - 1
ALC
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 3
ZAR
48%
26%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ZAR
0 - 0
MUR
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
SAB
1 - 0
ZAR
21%
26%
53%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ZAR
2 - 1
CCF
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
FCB
5 - 0
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
HER
1 - 0
MIR
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 3
HER
44%
26%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 2
HER
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
HER
0 - 1
SPO
31%
26%
43%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |