LaLiga Jor. 11

Real Zaragoza vs Celta analysis

Real Zaragoza Celta
84 ELO 88
-3.9% Tilt -12.8%
781º General ELO ranking 144º
40º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
37.5%
Real Zaragoza
27.6%
Draw
34.8%
Celta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
Real Zaragoza
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
34.8%
Win probability
Celta
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Zaragoza
-2%
+6%
Celta

ELO progression

Real Zaragoza
Celta
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Zaragoza
Real Zaragoza
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Nov. 2003
ESP
Espanyol
0 - 2
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
55%
24%
21%
83 85 2 0
28 Oct. 2003
ZAR
Real Zaragoza
0 - 0
Real Madrid
RMA
16%
21%
63%
83 94 11 0
25 Oct. 2003
MAL
Málaga
2 - 1
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
55%
24%
20%
84 86 2 -1
19 Oct. 2003
ZAR
Real Zaragoza
1 - 0
Real Valladolid
VAD
47%
26%
27%
83 85 2 +1
08 Oct. 2003
MIR
Mirandés
1 - 2
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
12%
23%
65%
83 42 41 0

Matches

Celta
Celta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2003
CEL
Celta
3 - 2
Ajax
AJA
47%
25%
29%
88 88 0 0
01 Nov. 2003
CEL
Celta
0 - 1
Racing
RAC
62%
21%
17%
88 83 5 0
29 Oct. 2003
VCF
Valencia
2 - 2
Celta
CEL
61%
23%
16%
88 92 4 0
26 Oct. 2003
ESP
Espanyol
0 - 4
Celta
CEL
43%
27%
30%
88 85 3 0
22 Oct. 2003
AJA
Ajax
1 - 0
Celta
CEL
62%
21%
17%
88 88 0 0
X