Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
RIE
3 - 1
RAP
35%
27%
37%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
RAP
0 - 0
RIE
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
RAP
2 - 2
RBS
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
FCK
0 - 3
RAP
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
RAP
1 - 1
GRA
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2002 |
STR
5 - 2
LIV
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
STR
1 - 3
FCK
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
FCK
2 - 2
STR
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
STR
1 - 3
SUP
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
STR
3 - 3
MAC
51%
24%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |