Racing vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2012 |
MIR
2 - 0
RAC
23%
26%
52%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
RAY
4 - 3
RAC
47%
24%
29%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
RAC
0 - 0
RSO
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
RAC
3 - 2
RAY
57%
24%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ATH
1 - 1
RAC
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
ZAR
0 - 2
ALC
75%
17%
9%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
ATH
2 - 1
ZAR
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 1
ZAR
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ZAR
0 - 1
MLL
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 0
ZAR
33%
27%
40%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |