Portsmouth vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
WYC
2 - 0
OPA
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
OPA
3 - 2
MKD
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
IPS
0 - 2
OPA
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
OPA
0 - 0
DER
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 1
OPA
15%
23%
63%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
STE
0 - 0
MAN
53%
26%
22%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
STE
5 - 0
BAR
58%
25%
18%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
KIN
0 - 3
STE
18%
23%
59%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
STE
3 - 2
ARS
47%
23%
30%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
GRI
1 - 1
STE
35%
30%
35%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |