Sochi vs Ural Yekaterinburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
10º
10º
36
10º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sochi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
ZEN
7 - 0
SOC
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
SOC
2 - 3
URA
63%
21%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
KRS
2 - 0
SOC
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SOC
4 - 0
LOK
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
GAZ
4 - 1
SOC
27%
25%
47%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ural Yekaterinburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
URA
2 - 1
KRS
30%
26%
43%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
SOC
2 - 3
URA
63%
21%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
FCR
1 - 2
URA
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
URA
2 - 1
KHI
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LOK
2 - 4
URA
65%
21%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |