Eredivisie European competition play-offs . Semi-finals

Global 7-2

NAC Breda vs Feyenoord analysis

NAC Breda Feyenoord
71 ELO 78
1% Tilt 12.2%
1027º General ELO ranking 73º
22º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
29.5%
NAC Breda
24.2%
Draw
46.3%
Feyenoord

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
NAC Breda
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
46.3%
Win probability
Feyenoord
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
NAC Breda
-10%
+11%
Feyenoord

ELO progression

NAC Breda
Feyenoord
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

NAC Breda
NAC Breda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 May. 2009
GRO
Groningen
1 - 0
NAC Breda
NAC
52%
25%
23%
70 75 5 0
03 May. 2009
NAC
NAC Breda
0 - 1
De Graafschap
GRA
63%
22%
15%
71 61 10 -1
25 Apr. 2009
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
2 - 3
NAC Breda
NAC
49%
26%
25%
71 75 4 0
21 Apr. 2009
TWE
Twente
3 - 1
NAC Breda
NAC
66%
20%
14%
71 83 12 0
17 Apr. 2009
HER
Heracles
4 - 0
NAC Breda
NAC
31%
27%
42%
72 62 10 -1

Matches

Feyenoord
Feyenoord
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 May. 2009
FEY
Feyenoord
2 - 3
Roda JC
RJC
66%
20%
14%
79 67 12 0
03 May. 2009
UTR
Utrecht
2 - 2
Feyenoord
FEY
31%
25%
44%
79 70 9 0
26 Apr. 2009
ADO
ADO Den Haag
2 - 3
Feyenoord
FEY
21%
24%
55%
79 60 19 0
18 Apr. 2009
FEY
Feyenoord
1 - 0
Twente
TWE
41%
26%
34%
78 84 6 +1
12 Apr. 2009
FEY
Feyenoord
5 - 1
Heracles
HER
69%
19%
12%
78 63 15 0
X