Motherwell vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
38.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
9º
8º
44
4º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
92 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
79 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
RAI
3 - 1
MHE
44%
24%
33%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ABE
3 - 1
MHE
55%
24%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
MHE
0 - 2
STJ
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
STM
1 - 0
MHE
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ARB
0 - 2
MHE
25%
23%
52%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CEL
5 - 1
STM
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
STM
0 - 1
HIB
33%
29%
38%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 3
STM
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
STM
1 - 0
MHE
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
STM
0 - 0
DUN
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |