Millonarios vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
CHI
2 - 1
MIL
29%
28%
44%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
AMF
2 - 0
MIL
54%
24%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
MIL
2 - 1
AME
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
AME
0 - 1
MIL
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 0
CHI
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2023 |
IND
0 - 1
AME
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
MET
0 - 1
IND
27%
24%
49%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
IND
0 - 0
CHI
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 0
IND
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
AME
2 - 0
IND
34%
26%
39%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |