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Second Division. Matchday 40

Málaga Girona
62 ELO 65
-41% Tilt -7%
449º General ELO ranking 339º
29º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
30%
Málaga
32.9%
Draw
37.1%
Girona

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
Málaga
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
+2
7.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
20.2%
32.9%
Draw
0-0
16.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.9%
37.1%
Win probability
Girona
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Málaga
-36%
-25%
Girona

Basic stats

27
73
POS
10
15
SOT
2
10
COR
0
1
GF
1
0
GC
62
65
ELO
0.8
1
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Málaga
Their league position
Girona
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
22º
12º
71
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Espanyol
82
82
50%
Mallorca
82
82
50%
Leganés
73
73
50%
Almería
73
73
50%
Girona
71
71
100%
Rayo Vallecano
67
67
100%
Real Sporting
65
65
100%
Ponferradina
57
57
100%
Las Palmas
56
56
100%
Mirandés
10º
54
54
10º
50%
Fuenlabrada
11º
54
54
11º
50%
Málaga
12º
53
53
12º
100%
Real Oviedo
13º
52
52
14º
50%
Tenerife
14º
52
52
13º
50%
Real Zaragoza
15º
50
50
15º
100%
FC Cartagena
16º
49
49
16º
100%
Alcorcón
17º
48
48
17º
100%
Lugo
18º
47
47
18º
100%
Sabadell
19º
46
46
19º
100%
UD Logroñés
20º
44
44
20º
100%
CD Castellón
21º
41
41
21º
100%
Albacete
22º
38
38
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Málaga
Girona
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Girona
GIR
Málaga
MAL
Alcorcón
ALC
Leganés
LEG
Espanyol
ESP
FC Cartagena
CAR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Málaga
Málaga
1%
X%
2%
ELO MAL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 May. 2021
ROV
Real Oviedo
1 - 0
Málaga
MAL
40%
28%
32%
1486 1189 -297 -7
08 May. 2021
MAL
Málaga
1 - 1
Mallorca
MLL
44%
27%
29%
1485 1679 -194 0
02 May. 2021
ESP
Espanyol
3 - 0
Málaga
MAL
56%
24%
20%
1493 1816 323 -7
24 Apr. 2021
MAL
Málaga
0 - 1
Fuenlabrada
FUE
60%
22%
18%
1501 1064 437 -9
17 Apr. 2021
UDL
Las Palmas
1 - 1
Málaga
MAL
47%
27%
26%
1501 1486 -15 0

Matches

Girona
Girona
1%
X%
2%
ELO GIR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 May. 2021
GIR
Girona
1 - 0
Real Sporting
SPO
51%
25%
24%
1660 1483 177 +5
09 May. 2021
UDL
UD Logroñés
1 - 4
Girona
GIR
39%
28%
33%
1651 1271 -380 +9
01 May. 2021
GIR
Girona
1 - 0
Tenerife
CDT
57%
23%
20%
1647 1253 394 +4
25 Apr. 2021
ROV
Real Oviedo
0 - 1
Girona
GIR
37%
28%
36%
1642 1188 -454 +5
16 Apr. 2021
GIR
Girona
3 - 0
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
53%
26%
22%
1634 1423 211 +8