Italy U21 vs Sweden U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
BIH
1 - 2
ITA
15%
21%
63%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 0
MNE
86%
11%
4%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
ITA
3 - 0
LUX
88%
10%
3%
|
77 | 30 | 47 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2021 |
PRT
5 - 3
ITA
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
ITA
4 - 0
SVN
71%
18%
10%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
SWE
0 - 2
MEX
63%
19%
19%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
SWE
3 - 1
MNE
84%
12%
5%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
SWE
0 - 1
ROU
59%
22%
20%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
BIH
1 - 1
SWE
22%
23%
56%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
MNE
1 - 3
SWE
8%
13%
79%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |