Harlow Town vs Colney Heath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.5%
3.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harlow Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
WEL
3 - 1
HAR
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
HAR
1 - 1
DID
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
HAR
2 - 0
BAR
50%
21%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
AYL
2 - 1
HAR
55%
22%
24%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
HAR
3 - 2
WAL
52%
21%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Colney Heath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
HER
3 - 2
COL
78%
13%
9%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
COL
1 - 2
BAR
13%
16%
71%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
DID
0 - 1
COL
80%
13%
8%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
COL
0 - 5
WAR
7%
13%
80%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
THA
5 - 2
COL
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | -1 |