Genoa vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
ACM
1 - 0
GEN
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
GEN
1 - 1
FIO
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 1
GEN
45%
26%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
GEN
1 - 3
CHI
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
UDI
0 - 1
GEN
58%
23%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 1
BRE
49%
27%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
INT
4 - 0
BAR
81%
14%
6%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAG
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
NAP
2 - 2
BAR
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 0
JUV
25%
26%
50%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |