Adap Galo Maringá vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adap Galo Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1979 |
OPE
0 - 2
MAR
30%
28%
42%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
CHA
2 - 3
MAR
39%
24%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1979 |
MAR
2 - 0
COL
70%
19%
12%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
SAO
1 - 1
MAR
28%
28%
44%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
BRA
0 - 0
MAR
32%
28%
40%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
CHA
0 - 1
CRI
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1979 |
CRI
2 - 1
SAO
64%
22%
15%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
CRI
0 - 1
COL
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
DES
1 - 0
CRI
47%
27%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
BRA
3 - 0
CRI
43%
27%
31%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |