Estoril vs Tondela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
VIT
3 - 1
EST
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2018 |
EST
0 - 2
FEI
59%
25%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2018 |
VST
2 - 2
EST
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
EST
3 - 2
AVE
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
SLB
3 - 1
EST
80%
13%
6%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
FCP
1 - 0
TON
85%
11%
4%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
TON
3 - 1
FEI
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
TON
1 - 1
VST
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
VIT
0 - 1
TON
64%
22%
15%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
TON
1 - 5
SLB
17%
23%
60%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |