Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ICT
2 - 2
DUN
55%
25%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
DUN
4 - 0
BRE
80%
14%
7%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
FAL
1 - 2
DUN
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 0
LIV
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
DUN
3 - 1
QOS
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
DUM
2 - 5
FAL
26%
27%
48%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
DUM
0 - 1
ICT
17%
24%
59%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
ICT
5 - 1
DUM
71%
19%
10%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
GRE
3 - 2
DUM
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
DUM
3 - 2
DUN
18%
25%
57%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +1 |