Dumbarton vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
53.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
EAS
2 - 1
DUM
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
DUM
1 - 0
CLY
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
AIR
0 - 2
DUM
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 0
DUM
29%
23%
47%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CLY
3 - 2
DUM
52%
22%
26%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 2
FAL
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
FAL
2 - 0
EAS
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
FAL
1 - 1
FOR
73%
18%
10%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
MON
1 - 3
FAL
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
FAL
2 - 1
CLY
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |