Copa do Brasil . Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Cruzeiro vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
CRZ
20%
26%
54%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
CRZ
0 - 0
COR
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
CRZ
2 - 2
FLU
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 1
CRZ
31%
28%
41%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2019 |
CRZ
1 - 2
CHA
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2019 |
ATM
1 - 1
SAO
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 1
ATM
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 2
ATM
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
ATM
4 - 0
CSA
77%
16%
7%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2019 |
ATM
1 - 0
ULC
71%
19%
11%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |