Valtierrano vs Murchante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
61.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valtierrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
INJ
3 - 2
CAV
77%
14%
9%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CDC
4 - 2
CAV
65%
19%
16%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MUT
2 - 0
CAV
75%
15%
10%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CAV
1 - 2
GAR
39%
25%
35%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ART
1 - 1
CAV
66%
19%
15%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
MUR
2 - 1
RIV
75%
16%
9%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 1
CDB
53%
23%
24%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AOI
2 - 0
MUR
52%
23%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 2
PEN
52%
23%
25%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MUR
2 - 0
CDC
55%
23%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |