2. Liga South Round 12

Chemnitzer vs Mainz 05 analysis

Chemnitzer Mainz 05
73 ELO 59
-10.1% Tilt -12.8%
2223º General ELO ranking 43º
93º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
54.6%
Chemnitzer
25%
Draw
20.4%
Mainz 05

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
Chemnitzer
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
20.4%
Win probability
Mainz 05
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chemnitzer
+3%
-2%
Mainz 05

ELO progression

Chemnitzer
Mainz 05
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chemnitzer
Chemnitzer
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Sep. 1991
CHE
Chemnitzer
2 - 1
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
ERF
59%
24%
17%
72 64 8 0
21 Sep. 1991
HOM
FC 08 Homburg
1 - 3
Chemnitzer
CHE
48%
27%
24%
71 68 3 +1
13 Sep. 1991
CHE
Chemnitzer
3 - 0
Hallescher FC
HAL
50%
26%
25%
72 69 3 -1
07 Sep. 1991
DAR
Darmstadt 98
0 - 0
Chemnitzer
CHE
36%
29%
35%
73 59 14 -1
31 Aug. 1991
MUN
1860 München
0 - 0
Chemnitzer
CHE
47%
27%
26%
74 67 7 -1

Matches

Mainz 05
Mainz 05
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Sep. 1991
MUN
1860 München
1 - 1
Mainz 05
M05
53%
25%
23%
59 65 6 0
21 Sep. 1991
M05
Mainz 05
1 - 1
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
CZJ
38%
27%
34%
59 74 15 0
15 Sep. 1991
WAL
Waldhof Mannheim
1 - 1
Mainz 05
M05
56%
23%
21%
60 67 7 -1
08 Sep. 1991
M05
Mainz 05
1 - 2
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
46%
27%
28%
62 69 7 -2
31 Aug. 1991
LOK
Lokomotive Leipzig
1 - 1
Mainz 05
M05
67%
21%
13%
62 79 17 0