Cerro Porteño vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
AME
3 - 2
CCP
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
GEN
2 - 5
CCP
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2016 |
CCP
3 - 2
DEP
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
RÑU
1 - 0
CCP
38%
27%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
CCP
32%
28%
39%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 2
DEP
34%
26%
41%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 3
GEN
47%
26%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
LQE
3 - 2
NAC
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
CCP
32%
28%
39%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 1
NAC
42%
27%
32%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |