Bolton Wanderers vs Man. Utd Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
10.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
STF
3 - 2
BOL
30%
28%
43%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
BOL
1 - 1
BRO
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
BOL
3 - 2
BAR
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FLE
1 - 2
BOL
28%
28%
45%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CAM
0 - 0
BOL
27%
28%
45%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Man. Utd Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
WOL
0 - 0
MAN
36%
22%
42%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 6
MCI
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TOT
1 - 1
MAN
24%
23%
53%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MAN
3 - 2
WOL
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
FLE
2 - 2
MAN
57%
20%
22%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |