Beijing Guoan vs Changchun Yatai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
SHA
1 - 1
BEI
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BEI
3 - 0
HEN
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
HAN
0 - 2
BEI
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SHE
0 - 3
BEI
23%
28%
49%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 1
BEI
39%
28%
33%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TIT
1 - 2
CHA
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 2
SHA
71%
19%
11%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
DAL
1 - 1
CHA
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 1
GUA
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 1
BEI
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |