Aurillac Arpajon vs Île-Rousse Monticello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
13.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
SAI
0 - 1
AUR
56%
25%
19%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
AUR
4 - 0
BOU
31%
24%
46%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
AUR
3 - 1
BAS
28%
25%
48%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
LIM
1 - 0
AUR
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
AUR
1 - 1
AVE
26%
23%
51%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Île-Rousse Monticello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BOU
3 - 0
ILE
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ILE
1 - 1
DIV
43%
22%
35%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
ILE
0 - 0
SAI
17%
21%
62%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
DIV
5 - 2
ILE
51%
21%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
ILE
1 - 2
COU
61%
20%
20%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |