Copa Colombia . Quarter-finals
Global 5-1
At. Nacional vs Águilas Doradas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NAC
3 - 0
ENV
75%
17%
8%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
AGU
0 - 3
NAC
40%
27%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
AME
4 - 1
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
NAC
3 - 0
SFE
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
JUN
1 - 1
NAC
46%
27%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AGU
3 - 0
PAS
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
AGU
0 - 3
NAC
40%
27%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CHI
0 - 1
AGU
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
AGU
2 - 2
AME
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
HUI
1 - 1
AGU
22%
26%
52%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |