Almería vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 3
ALM
21%
26%
54%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 0
BET
83%
13%
5%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
BET
1 - 2
ALM
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
CAD
1 - 2
ALM
44%
27%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
MAL
1 - 1
ALM
33%
27%
41%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
OVI
2 - 2
LUG
53%
26%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
PON
1 - 0
OVI
39%
26%
36%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 1
OVI
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
OVI
1 - 2
CUL
66%
20%
15%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
AVI
0 - 1
OVI
4%
14%
83%
|
70 | 27 | 43 | 0 |