Al-Nahda vs Al-Shabab analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+93%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nahda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
ALN
3 - 1
RIF
11%
18%
72%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
RIF
1 - 1
ALN
80%
14%
7%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
ALN
3 - 1
DHO
47%
26%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
ALN
1 - 3
ALS
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -4 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ALN
0 - 0
ALS
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ALS
1 - 3
ALS
48%
26%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BAH
0 - 0
ALS
38%
23%
39%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
ALS
1 - 2
SOH
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SUR
2 - 2
ALS
43%
26%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
ALS
0 - 1
AWO
88%
9%
4%
|
39 | 7 | 32 | -1 |