Zurich vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1978 |
SER
1 - 2
ZUR
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
ZUR
4 - 2
SIO
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1978 |
LAU
4 - 0
ZUR
53%
22%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
ZUR
1 - 3
GCZ
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
BAS
1 - 1
ZUR
62%
19%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1978 |
BAS
3 - 1
LAU
67%
17%
16%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
BAS
2 - 0
GCZ
60%
19%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1978 |
SIO
1 - 4
BAS
36%
24%
40%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
SER
0 - 2
BAS
61%
20%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
BAS
1 - 1
ZUR
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |