Zarya Leninsk vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zarya Leninsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 1994 |
ZAL
2 - 4
DMA
69%
18%
12%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1994 |
ZAL
3 - 2
ZEN
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 1994 |
ZAL
4 - 1
BAL
49%
26%
26%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Jul. 1994 |
VLA
1 - 1
ZAL
66%
21%
13%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1994 |
OKN
3 - 0
ZAL
62%
23%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 1994 |
IRT
0 - 4
CHE
38%
27%
36%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1994 |
NEF
1 - 0
CHE
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 1994 |
ZPM
1 - 2
CHE
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1994 |
CHE
3 - 1
ELI
74%
16%
10%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 1994 |
CHE
3 - 1
FCR
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |