Zamora vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.2%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
80.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
17%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.6%
0-3
13.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
GIM
2 - 1
ZAM
27%
27%
45%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ZAM
1 - 0
AVI
59%
24%
17%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
RCV
0 - 0
ZAM
18%
25%
57%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
ZAM
2 - 2
RAC
13%
20%
68%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ZAM
3 - 0
ROB
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ATM
3 - 1
VIL
55%
23%
22%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 2
VIL
20%
21%
60%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 3
ATH
57%
23%
21%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
CCF
0 - 5
VIL
5%
16%
79%
|
89 | 20 | 69 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
GRA
2 - 3
VIL
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |