Walsall vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
WAL
0 - 1
OPA
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
WAL
0 - 3
WIG
19%
24%
57%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
STF
2 - 0
WAL
58%
25%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
WAL
0 - 3
ROC
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 3
WAL
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
BCF
0 - 2
ROC
28%
26%
47%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
BRO
2 - 1
BCF
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
BCF
0 - 2
WIG
14%
23%
63%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
MKD
2 - 1
BCF
58%
22%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
BCF
0 - 1
POS
21%
24%
55%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |