VVSB vs Urk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
6º
16º
13º
43
2º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 66 |
1º
|
87.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 60 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 59 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 57 |
5º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 53 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 51 |
7º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 50 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 49 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 48 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 47 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
43 | 47 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
41 | 45 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 43 |
14º
|
47.5% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 41 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 36 |
16º
|
87% | |
|
17º
|
22 | 25 |
17º
|
99.5% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 17 |
18º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VVSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
RIJ
1 - 0
VVS
39%
25%
37%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
VVS
2 - 6
IJS
58%
21%
21%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
EEM
0 - 2
VVS
39%
24%
37%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
VVS
0 - 1
DVS
67%
18%
15%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
VVS
3 - 2
HAR
55%
21%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Urk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
URK
1 - 3
STA
46%
23%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 2
URK
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
URK
4 - 0
ODI
63%
19%
18%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
DEM
1 - 1
URK
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
DOV
3 - 0
URK
62%
21%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |