Vitória vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
10.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1975 |
POR
3 - 0
VIT
50%
27%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
SPO
2 - 0
VIT
44%
29%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1975 |
AME
0 - 1
VIT
34%
30%
36%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1975 |
VIT
2 - 1
CSA
66%
22%
12%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
VIT
2 - 0
NAU
47%
27%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
SER
0 - 2
SAN
16%
27%
56%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
CSA
1 - 0
SER
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
SER
1 - 0
AME
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1975 |
GOI
2 - 0
SER
70%
20%
10%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
SER
2 - 2
CEB
29%
26%
44%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |