Vilhenense vs Boa EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
68.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilhenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAC
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 1
PAR
58%
21%
21%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
PAR
0 - 1
VIL
31%
21%
48%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
VIL
3 - 1
POR
36%
24%
41%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
POR
1 - 1
VIL
46%
23%
32%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
TOM
0 - 0
BOA
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
BOA
0 - 0
COI
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
CRZ
2 - 0
BOA
76%
18%
6%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
BOA
0 - 1
TOM
51%
28%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
YPI
0 - 1
BOA
47%
28%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |