Vila Nova vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
50.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
CRZ
2 - 0
VIL
62%
24%
14%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
PPE
40%
30%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
CRI
1 - 0
VIL
36%
29%
35%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
OPE
38%
31%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
CRB
1 - 0
VIL
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 0
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
BRU
0 - 2
BAH
24%
29%
47%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 1
NOV
74%
18%
8%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
BAH
1 - 2
ATP
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 1
CHA
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |