Vila Nova vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
38.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
GRE
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 1
VIL
24%
27%
50%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
APA
0 - 1
VIL
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
APA
59%
23%
19%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 1
ANA
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
VAS
0 - 1
BOT
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 1
VAS
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 1
BOT
18%
24%
58%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 0
NOV
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
BOT
4 - 0
MAC
84%
12%
4%
|
68 | 36 | 32 | 0 |