VfR Aalen vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
50%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
WER
3 - 1
VFR
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
WAC
1 - 0
VFR
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
VFR
3 - 2
CZJ
39%
26%
36%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
VFR
0 - 0
BSV
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
EBT
2 - 0
VFR
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
PAD
2 - 0
CZJ
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
EBT
2 - 0
PAD
32%
27%
42%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
PAD
1 - 2
SGD
62%
23%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
WUP
0 - 1
PAD
33%
26%
42%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
PAD
0 - 0
FCU
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |